Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.289345 4.950318 5.677558 6.536873 7.524405 8.623709 9.940368
2024-12-22 3.260429 4.091651 5.083084 6.352118 7.933125 9.838008 12.308286
2024-12-29 2.775521 3.747766 4.992040 6.699744 8.982061 11.927461 16.019684
2025-01-05 2.366724 3.413528 4.840795 6.926254 9.894531 13.967957 19.987066
2025-01-12 1.989183 3.046667 4.574047 6.936612 10.497104 15.663097 23.734692
2025-01-19 1.604947 2.598314 4.111371 6.577857 10.495551 16.478019 26.316259
2025-01-26 1.442796 2.457323 4.079470 6.853550 11.476089 18.871220 31.612356
2025-02-02 1.346735 2.403985 4.172056 7.332574 12.837190 22.029526 38.561304
2025-02-09 1.212728 2.262685 4.094336 7.507748 13.705026 24.479167 44.651091
2025-02-16 1.086344 2.113321 3.977716 7.591271 14.413647 26.732177 50.684382
2025-02-23 0.942584 1.908260 3.729299 7.393462 14.574003 28.014739 55.105793
2025-03-02 0.802175 1.687199 3.417952 7.027340 14.356737 28.555690 58.173232
2025-03-09 0.728871 1.593095 3.346137 7.135964 15.111776 31.104995 65.632248
2025-03-16 0.637932 1.447929 3.150975 6.964877 15.277150 32.516624 71.006640
2025-03-23 0.608567 1.431482 3.221374 7.365632 16.701274 36.688912 82.751640
2025-03-30 0.570115 1.388422 3.227944 7.627299 17.860500 40.456048 94.153280
2025-04-06 0.518259 1.305745 3.133951 7.646784 18.477657 43.123084 103.472006
2025-04-13 0.446450 1.163258 2.881220 7.256554 18.086832 43.472688 107.496646
2025-04-20 0.425006 1.142815 2.915267 7.563430 19.406352 47.946063 121.936603
2025-04-27 0.416928 1.155496 3.032122 8.093481 21.351031 54.158615 141.487316
2025-05-04 0.391761 1.118728 3.018897 8.287920 22.472065 58.504169 156.946145
2025-05-11 0.364180 1.070891 2.969976 8.380844 23.341386 62.330429 171.593167
2025-05-18 0.326313 0.987862 2.815096 8.163232 23.347157 63.933327 180.569490